Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.395238 0.432429 0.472143 0.517802 0.568966 0.624665 0.690070
2025-11-30 0.335331 0.387540 0.447160 0.520701 0.609550 0.714150 0.847688
2025-12-07 0.295471 0.353900 0.423641 0.513843 0.628617 0.771406 0.965062
2025-12-14 0.266625 0.328402 0.404757 0.507331 0.643467 0.820745 1.073774
2025-12-21 0.239737 0.301972 0.381087 0.490713 0.641369 0.845219 1.149136
2025-12-28 0.227143 0.292332 0.377484 0.499096 0.672084 0.915303 1.294349
2026-01-04 0.215695 0.282959 0.372979 0.505103 0.699046 0.981572 1.440576
2026-01-11 0.204822 0.273336 0.367053 0.508054 0.721085 1.041796 1.583638
2026-01-18 0.194886 0.264168 0.360847 0.509673 0.740650 1.099324 1.728384
2026-01-25 0.186890 0.257104 0.356964 0.514098 0.764394 1.165025 1.894168
2026-02-01 0.175694 0.244653 0.344274 0.503912 0.763785 1.190516 1.992105
2026-02-08 0.169088 0.238501 0.340461 0.507060 0.784697 1.253459 2.165183
2026-02-15 0.160992 0.229772 0.332361 0.503034 0.793747 1.297600 2.310585
2026-02-22 0.155109 0.224063 0.328539 0.505624 0.814205 1.363948 2.508845
2026-03-01 0.147638 0.215467 0.319623 0.499010 0.817807 1.399517 2.649181
2026-03-08 0.140842 0.207551 0.311299 0.492727 0.821294 1.434899 2.793725
2026-03-15 0.132528 0.196823 0.297843 0.476688 0.805583 1.431557 2.852971
2026-03-22 0.129677 0.194671 0.298243 0.484780 0.835272 1.520465 3.133052
2026-03-29 0.126556 0.191903 0.297427 0.490576 0.860973 1.603884 3.414017
2026-04-05 0.123082 0.188371 0.295104 0.493424 0.881070 1.677632 3.683857
2026-04-12 0.119592 0.184637 0.292215 0.494986 0.898646 1.747730 3.956523
2026-04-19 0.116770 0.181883 0.290849 0.499256 0.921993 1.832951 4.284214
2026-04-26 0.111787 0.175246 0.282361 0.489427 0.915287 1.849562 4.428058